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TICKERS: IIVI

Tech Growth Pushes Co.'s Rating Higher
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The Quick Take

  • Raymond James has a $77 per share price target on II-VI Inc.
  • Raymond James upgraded its rating on II-VI to Outperform from Market Perform because it expects 2022 sales of its optical communications products to exceed consensus expectations, reported Raymond James analyst Simon Leopold in a Jan. 3 research note.
  • Expected growth in the datacom sector will likely drive demand for II-VI's optical transceivers.
  • II-VI's acquisition of Coherent will likely close in H1/22, pending approval from the pertinent Chinese regulatory agency.
  • The company undertook a $900 million financing in December.
  • Raymond James revised its model on II-VI for 2022, taking its sales revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts higher than the Street's:
    • The new revenue estimate is $3,627 million, up from $3,601 million, versus consensus at $3,511 million.
    • The new EPS estimate is $4.43, up from $4.06, versus consensus at $4.02.

Raymond James updated its model on II-VI Inc. (IIVI:NASDAQ), a manufacturer of optoelectronic components and devices, in light of three factors, noted analyst Simon Leopold. They are II-VI's acquisition of Coherent, II-VI's December 2021 financing of $900 million and expected growth in the datacom sector likely to positively affect II-VI.

As for the acquisition, closing of the transaction is pending approval in China. This is expected to happen in Q1/22, Leopold noted.

Assuming the deal closes, the financial services firm expects the combined company to generate sales revenue of $5.86 billion in 2023 and attain an earnings per share (EPS) of $4.79, wrote Leopold.

Looking nearer term, to 2022, Leopold highlighted that his firm expects II-VI to exceed the Street's estimates for sales revenue.

"II-VI leads market for data center transceivers," he wrote. As such, the expected growth in the datacom sector, led by hyperscale builders investing in 400G, 200G and 100G optical transreceivers, should boost sales of this product for II-VI by about 20%. Revenue from these sales is expected to comprise 10% to 15% of total sales revenue.

"Estimated overall hyperscale capex (adjusted for Amazon) grows 23% in 2022, and we believe II-VI has favorable exposure to the two biggest spenders, Google and Facebook/Meta," Leopold wrote.

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