ICAD Inc.'s (ICAD:NASDAQ) performance in Q4/21 suffered from the surge of COVID-19's Omicron variant, but the cancer detection and therapy solutions company is expected to recover from the setback this year, reported Oppenheimer analyst Francois Brisebois in a March 1 research note.
"We continue to view iCAD's technology as best in class with plenty of room for growth," Brisebois wrote. This statement is supported by Oppenheimer's Outperform rating and $16 per share price target on the biotech firm. The latter implies a significant potential return as iCAD is currently trading at around $4.83 per share.
Brisebois reviewed how iCAD fared and what it experienced during 2021's final quarter. Topline sales were as expected, in line with revised guidance, coming in at $7.8 million ($7.8M). They did, however, fall short of original estimates.
Earnings per share in Q4/21 of ($0.17) missed Oppenheimer and the Street's estimates of ($0.11), reportedly due to slightly higher than expected operating expenses. At year-end, iCAD had $34.3M in cash on the balance sheet.
"ICAD seems in a solid position given its operational burn of only $9M in full-year 2021," Brisebois commented.
What drove iCAD's Q4/21 underperformance, Brisebois indicated, was the Omicron variant surge. About one-third of the company's global sales team caught the virus, resulting in staff shortages and limited resources. This all led to the postponement of numerous deals expected to be consummated in December, typically iCAD's busiest Q4 month.
"While optimistic of a rebound, we don't expect an immediate recovery in Q1/22," wrote Brisebois.
The analyst pointed out that moving forward, iCAD's new CEO Stacey Stevens plans to implement some focused commercial strategies for the company's detection business. As well, iCAD will continue its four ongoing studies pertaining to its breast cancer clinical decision support tool, ProFound AI Risk, "which we believe should help adoption (key long-term value driver)," Brisebois noted.
Also, iCAD intends to slowly roll out a subscription-based model in about a year. This would add a recurring revenue stream and alleviate prospective buyers' concerns about paying one upfront cost.
Brisebois relayed that management still expects dermatology to be a significant part of iCAD's therapy portfolio in 2022, and given its strength last year, Oppenheimer finds this encouraging.
"In 2021, dermatology controllers was the main value driver (product revenues saw 112% year-over-year growth) due to the favorable regulatory and reimbursement changes, and we continue to expect growth in 2022," Brisebois wrote.
1) Doresa Banning compiled this article for Streetwise Reports LLC and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an independent contractor. She or members of her household own securities of the following companies mentioned in the article: None. She or members of her household are paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None.
2) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: None. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees.
3) Comments and opinions expressed are those of the specific experts and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the decision to publish an article until three business days after the publication of the article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases.
6) This article does not constitute medical advice. Officers, employees and contributors to Streetwise Reports are not licensed medical professionals. Readers should always contact their healthcare professionals for medical advice.
Disclosures and Disclaimers, Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., iCAD Inc., March 1, 2022
Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.
Analyst Certification: The author certifies that this research report accurately states his/her personal views about the subject securities, which are reflected in the ratings as well as in the substance of this report. The author certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views contained in this research report.
Potential Conflicts of Interest: Equity research analysts employed by Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. are compensated from revenues generated by the firm including the Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. Investment Banking Department. Research analysts do not receive compensation based upon revenues from specific investment banking transactions. Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. generally prohibits any research analyst and any member of his or her household from executing trades in the securities of a company that such research analyst covers. Additionally, Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. generally prohibits any research analyst from serving as an officer, director or advisory board member of a company that such analyst covers. In addition to 1% ownership positions in covered companies that are required to be specifically disclosed in this report, Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. may have a long position of less than 1% or a short position or deal as principal in the securities discussed herein, related securities or in options, futures or other derivative instruments based thereon. Recipients of this report are advised that any or all of the foregoing arrangements, as well as more specific disclosures set forth below, may at times give rise to potential conflicts of interest.
Although the investment recommendations within the three-tiered, relative stock rating system utilized by Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. do not correlate to buy, hold and sell recommendations, for the purposes of complying with FINRA rules, Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. has assigned buy ratings to securities rated Outperform, hold ratings to securities rated Perform, and sell ratings to securities rated Underperform.
Note: Stocks trading under $5 can be considered speculative and appropriate for risk tolerant investors.
Additional Information Available
Company-Specific Disclosures: Important disclosures, including price charts, are available for compendium reports and all Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.-covered companies by logging on to https://www.oppenheimer.com/client-login.aspx or writing to Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., 85 Broad Street, New York, NY 10004, Attention: Equity Research Department, Business Manager.
Other Disclosures: This report is issued and approved for distribution by Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. transacts business on all principal exchanges and is a member of SIPC. This report is provided, for informational purposes only, to institutional and retail investor clients of Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities discussed herein in any jurisdiction where such offer or solicitation would be prohibited. The securities mentioned in this report may not be suitable for all types of investors. This report does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or specific needs of any particular client of Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. Recipients should consider this report as only a single factor in making an investment decision and should not rely solely on investment recommendations contained herein, if any, as a substitution for the exercise of independent judgment of the merits and risks of investments. The analyst writing the report is not a person or company with actual, implied or apparent authority to act on behalf of any issuer mentioned in the report. Before making an investment decision with respect to any security recommended in this report, the recipient should consider whether such recommendation is appropriate given the recipient's particular investment needs, objectives and financial circumstances. We recommend that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourage investors to seek the advice of a financial advisor. Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. will not treat non-client recipients as its clients solely by virtue of their receiving this report. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made regarding future performance of any security mentioned in this report. The price of the securities mentioned in this report and the income they produce may fluctuate and/or be adversely affected by exchange rates, and investors may realize losses on investments in such securities, including the loss of investment principal. Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. accepts no liability for any loss arising from the use of information contained in this report, except to the extent that liability may arise under specific statutes or regulations applicable to Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. All information, opinions and statistical data contained in this report were obtained or derived from public sources believed to be reliable, but Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. does not represent that any such information, opinion or statistical data is accurate or complete (with the exception of information contained in the Important Disclosures section of this report provided by Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. or individual research analysts), and they should not be relied upon as such. All estimates, opinions and recommendations expressed herein constitute judgments as of the date of this report and are subject to change without notice. Nothing in this report constitutes legal, accounting or tax advice. Since the levels and bases of taxation can change, any reference in this report to the impact of taxation should not be construed as offering tax advice on the tax consequences of investments. As with any investment having potential tax implications, clients should consult with their own independent tax adviser. This report may provide addresses of, or contain hyperlinks to, Internet web sites. Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. has not reviewed the linked Internet web site of any third party and takes no responsibility for the contents thereof. Each such address or hyperlink is provided solely for the recipient's convenience and information, and the content of linked third party web sites is not in any way incorporated into this document. Recipients who choose to access such third-party web sites or follow such hyperlinks do so at their own risk.
This research is distributed in the UK and elsewhere throughout Europe, as third party research by Oppenheimer Europe Ltd, which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). This research is for information purposes only and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to purchase or sell investments or related financial instruments. This research is for distribution only to persons who are eligible counterparties or professional clients. It is not intended to be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other class of persons. In particular, this material is not for distribution to, and should not be relied upon by, retail clients, as defined under the rules of the FCA. Neither the FCA's protection rules nor compensation scheme may be applied. https://opco2.bluematrix.com/sellside/MAR.action
Distribution in Hong Kong: This report is prepared for professional investors and is being distributed in Hong Kong by Oppenheimer Investments Asia Limited (OIAL) to persons whose business involves the acquisition, disposal or holding of securities, whether as principal or agent. OIAL, an affiliate of Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., is regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission for the conduct of dealing in securities and advising on securities. For professional investors in Hong Kong, please contact [email protected] for all matters and queries relating to this report.
ESG Scores: ESG scores from Refinitiv are designed to transparently and objectively measure a company’s relative ESG performance, commitment and effectiveness, based on company-reported data. This covers 10 main themes including emissions, environmental product innovation, human rights, shareholders and so on. Ratings are available on close to 10,000 companies globally, with time-series data going back to 2002. The percentile rank scores are simple to understand and transparent. They are benchmarked against The Refinitiv Business Classifications (TRBC – Industry Group) for all environmental and social categories, as well as the controversies score. They are also measured against the country of incorporation for all governance categories.
Please note that all ESG ratings are independent of Oppenheimer stock ratings. They are intended to provide supplemental information regarding ESG for our covered companies. ESG ratings do not have any impact on the stock rating.
This report or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold, or redistributed without the written consent of Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. Copyright © Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. 2022.