Get the Latest Investment Ideas Delivered Straight to Your Inbox. Subscribe


Acquisition of Canadian Gold Company Contributes to Pressure on Stock
Research Report

Share on Stocktwits


In resuming coverage of Eldorado Gold following the acquisition of Integra Gold and its Lamaque property, BMO Capital Markets analyst Andrew Kaip looked at the impact of the move, as well as at other factors pressuring Eldorado stock.

In a BMO Capital Markets July 10 research report on Eldorado Gold Corp. (ELD:TSX; EGO:NYSE), analyst Andrew Kaip wrote, "While we view the Integra acquisition as neutral, based on the benefit of future tax synergies and/or demonstrated resource growth, we expect it will take time for ELD to overcome the perception that it overpaid for Integra," adding that "benefits of the acquisition also include a step towards diversifying growth away from Greece. We now expect Canada to contribute ~30% of growth over the next 5 years, compared with Greece at ~60%."

After acquiring Integra on May 15, "shares of ELD have declined 33% versus a 7% decline in the GDX and a flat gold price," Kaip stated. "We typically expect shares of the acquirer to come under pressure as investors arbitrage the deal. However, shares of ELD have continued to underperform relative to peers owing to a number of external events that have placed selling pressure on shares of ELD."

Those external events included "index deletions, Greek arbitration and more recently the production revisions at Kisladag," the report notes, adding the company "would not meet its original 2017 guidance at Kisladag at 230-245koz, due to higher-than-expected cyanide requirements in the heap leach. Revised guidance was established at 180-210koz in 2017, and the company expects to recover gold ounces in 2018 that were deferred from 2017."

Despite the downturn in the stock, "in our view, the move to purchase Integra looks to be well timed, as it begins the process of diversifying jurisdictional risk away from Greece to lower-risk operating countries," Kaip stated.

BMO's investment thesis notes that "While ELD represents a compelling opportunity on valuation relative to peers, the company's capital-intensive and execution-exposed development strategy combined with residual concerns over Greek exposure are likely to leave investors on the sidelines until the company succeeds on delivering on growth."

BMO has a Market Perform rating on Eldorado and a target price of $4.00 per share. The stock is currently trading around $3.13.

Want to read more Gold Report articles like this? Sign up for our free e-newsletter, and you'll learn when new articles have been published. To see a list of recent articles and interviews with industry analysts and commentators, visit our Streetwise Interviews page.

1) Tracy Salcedo compiled this article for Streetwise Reports LLC and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an independent contractor. She owns, or members of her immediate household or family own, securities of the following companies mentioned in this article: None. She is, or members of her immediate household or family are, paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None.
2) The following companies are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: None. Streetwise Reports does not accept stock in exchange for its services. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
3) Comments and opinions expressed are those of the specific experts and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers.
4) The article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports' terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.
5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the interview or the decision to write an article, until one week after the publication of the interview or article.

Want to read more about Gold investment ideas?
Get Our Streetwise Reports Newsletter Free and be the first to know!

A valid email address is required to subscribe