And when that happens, assets like gold and oil will rise in price.
This is not a guess. It is a fact.
We are already seeing the wise guys and speculators get their early bets in. . .
They will do it in Europe with some kind of ultramassive TARP program.
The French and Germans have already knocked on every door, looking to borrow the specie they need to keep an entire continent solvent.
It just ain't happening. (Heck, the Chinese laughed in their faces and told them to work harder.)
That's why European bond prices are spiking.
No one in their right mind wants to lend to these guys when a 50% haircut—at best!—is lurking right around the corner.
Seriously, entire governments are falling here. They're not just on the fringe anymore.
And the central bankers who are replacing various heads of states are left with only one last trick: printing trillions of new euros.
This will, of course, dramatically reduce the value of the euro. That's one of the points of the whole devilish exercise (the other being to print the very cash required to pay these bills).
You borrow a euro that's worth $X. You pay back a euro that's worth $3/4X. And your creditor puts up with it so as to avoid a complete default that would net him pennies on the euro.
We're Going to Do It, Too
Now, don't go getting all chest-thumping proud and jingoistic about all this. Because we are going to do it here, too.
According to the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, the European fiasco now has better than even odds of tanking the U.S. economy in the first six months of 2012.
“A European sovereign debt default may well sink the United States back into recession. However, if we navigate the storm through the second half of 2012, it appears that danger will recede rapidly in 2013.”
And by "navigate," the bank only means one thing: "Invent enormous wads of new currency out of thin air."
Print or Die
Forget about terms like QE1 or QE2 or QE3. Dollar creation is now a permanent part of Washington policy.
The Fed has already declared that it will continue "lending" dollars to American banks at 0% and buying up every bond the treasury sees fit to print for the foreseeable future.
And that was back when they were only fighting "slow growth."
Now they are "navigating an odds-on recession" slated to hit just as voters are deciding whether or not this government will fall.
What's more, when the Europeans start printing, it will force the euro down against the dollar—allowing them to export more easily into American markets and making it that much harder for us to sell goods into theirs.
It is an absolute lock that we will strike back with our own printing presses.
Once again, the politicians have no choice: It's either print away the awesome burden of our debts (and each and every nickel you save or earn), or face political Armageddon.
The Wise Guys Are Already on Board
Here are charts for the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEArca:GLD) and SPDR Select Sector Fund–Energy (NYSEArca:XLE).
The GLD is straightforward enough: The exchange-traded fund (ETF) owns some $64.14 billion in gold. The XLE follows the stock prices for the major energy players like ExxonMobil (NYSE:XOM) and Schlumberger (NYSE:SLB), and moves in near lockstep with oil prices.
Today, we are not talking about supply or demand for either asset.
We are not arguing about genuine usefulness or lasting value.
Both ETFs are showing clearly defined stacked buy signals because the aforementioned wise guys and speculators know one simple fact: When you push down the buying power of the currency on the side of the chart, you push up the selling price of the asset.
Dollar down, gold and oil up. Period.