For Q311, of the 65 MLPs that I track, $EVEP was by far the biggest winner, with 37.3% total return in the quarter, as the Utica shale play is showing positive signs early on. $OILT, which went public in July, followed at 12.7%. The large cap leader was $OKS, which announced increased guidance this week, which helped it gain 8.8% this week, and 10.7% for the quarter. Of the 52 MLPs that had negative total returns for the quarter, coal name $OXF was the worst, with -31.2%. Other coal MLPs, natural gas storage MLPs and propane MLPs dominate the bottom 20 performers this quarter. Of the large cap MLPs, $NS (-16.0%) and Energy Transfer Partners L.P. (ETP:NYSE) (-14.3%), had the largest losses.
For the year to date, EVEP is once again at the top with 88.4% total return, $APL (26.4%) is a distant second. Three IPOs are the in the top 10 for the year ($GMLP, $TLLP and $OILT). Drop down stories, $WPZ, $EPB, $DPM and $EPB have also held up well. The bottom 10 are dominated again by natural gas storage, propane, shipping and coal MLPs. $NS is once again the lowest performing of the larger MLPs at -20.7% for the year.
GP Holdco’s had a rough quarter as well. Just one out of seven had positive total return for the quarter, with $ETE at the bottom of the list at -20%.
For the year, GP Holdco’s are still outperforming regular MLPs, but its been a mixed bag, with $XTXI and $ATLS way outperforming, as their previously distressed MLPs fight their way back.
For the next quarter, I think the best approach is to take a basket that includes (1) high growth midstream MLPs with low yields, (2) some large-cap fallen stars that have been beaten down and offer very high relative yields, and (3) some GP Holdco exposure. That barbell approach of low yield from the growth MLPs and GPs combined with high yield from the fallen stars (which may see yield compression this quarter), should provide a higher yield than the sector overall, with significant upside.
Enbridge Energy Partners, L.P. (EEP/EEQ:NYSE) announced plans to jointly develop a crude oil pipeline from Cushing to Gulf Coast. (Press Release).
Disclosure: The information in this article is not meant to be financial advice, we are not your financial advisor and I am posting my comments for informational purposes only.