More Record Prices in Gold, Silver and Oil Ahead
Source: James West, Midas Letter (3/3/11)
"The biggest financial collapse in history is still underway, and accelerating."
But if the perfect storm of commodity-price influence that is currently just a faint wind blowing continues to strengthen, the prices for these commodities are going to surpass their all-time records in the first half of 2011. That means topping $1,432/oz. gold, $49.95/oz. silver and $147/bbl. oil.
Those two paragraphs were written yesterday before gold broke that record and silver set a new 30-year high. Oil is powering higher and though $147 is almost a 50% increase from here, remember that when the price spiked to that level in July 2008, it was trading in the $100 range on March 4—just four months earlier.
From 10,000 feet, there are no surprises. The U.S. dollar is in the final stages of deterioration; the nation it supports is broke and is in a state of default, essentially. The pretext of military intervention facilitates the deployment of armed forces into the world's oil-producing regions. The U.S. dollar propaganda machine, incessantly ballyhooing an economic recovery by pointing to the ersatz evidence of robust equity markets, disingenuously overlooks the fact that the percentage increases in the Dow mimic exactly the percentage increases in bogus dollar production.
The only real surprise is the sheer audacity of the American political establishment and its rapacious capacity for feeding off of its own impoverished public, anesthetized daily by the talking heads and forced to lean harder into the strengthening force of that foul wind. Everyone outside of the U.S., and many within, comprehend perfectly that the biggest financial collapse in history is still underway, and accelerating.
Egghead analysts are increasingly impressed with their needlessly complex models of future resource consumption. These point to a world wherein we're running out of everything in terms of basic non-renewable commodities. Those that are agriculturally generated are starting to bump up against the ceiling of maximum possible production, while the land required to produce them is incrementally compromised by diminishing arability.
The final converging front of said storm of perfection is manifested by the inevitable outcome of the Information Age begun nearly 20 years ago. Despotic leaders, fortified by U.S. dollars and military support, can longer conceal the treasonous relationship that forms their base of power and, coincidentally, net-savvy youths are organizing and sharing information at an unprecedented rate. The result, collective outrage, is expressed in the form of protests morphing into revolutions morphing into toppled authoritarian governments.
The only thing keeping China and Saudi Arabia from the same fate is robust economics and ferocious domestic policing. The moment the scale tips toward poverty and hunger is the moment no amount of internal brutality suppresses what becomes a preference for a noble death over a miserable life. That equation is natural law. And natural law, unlike the self-serving rules foisted on the public sheep and labeled "The Law," cannot be broken.
The Chinese bubble—involuntarily and feverishly inflating through the simple requirement of nourishment to sustain its unfathomable scale—speeds toward the inevitable pop, which is the sound heard in the not-so-distant future when the return to tribal warfare marks the completion of the ultimate cycle.
All these factors converge to form insatiable demand for tangible value in direct proportion to the inundation with the anti-value of paper. That gold and silver are the principle recipients of that demand is, as noted, no surprise.
This weekend upcoming will see the beginning of the Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada convention at the Toronto Convention Center. This is the world's largest mining investment and finance conference in the world. The expectation this year is for a sell-out crowd because, while the prices of the monetary commodities (gold, silver, platinum and palladium) and energy commodities (oil, gas, uranium, lithium, coal and rare earths) all power higher, the companies that explore for and ultimately produce these commodities are where the really big money is made.
The PDAC conference is the single-most important gathering on the planet to discover investment ideas, listen to presentations by such companies and a wide range of speakers on topics from mining economics to stock picking.
It's all about leverage. Whereas the price of gold and silver is just about guaranteed to keep rising in view of all the factors cited above, investors with higher risk tolerance who want to leverage their investments to these prices in the desire to realize gains above 100% within two years can do so by investing in TSX and TSX-listed commodity stocks.
Gold will likely pile on another $80–100 in the coming year, as it has done for the last 10, which will give it a one-year performance increase of over 6.9%. But buying a junior gold explorer for $0.50 a share, and seeing that company drill a major intercept that immediately carries the stock to $5, is a 1,000% performance or tenbagger—the holy grail of resource investment.
So, you can keep buying the platitudes of CNBC, The Wall Street Journal and CNN, who want you to think your funds are safer with the major American investment banks which are their sponsors, or you can quit getting fleeced by the U.S. government-backed financial services industry and come join the land of the free up north in Toronto for four days and see how it feels to make a pile of dough.
Midas Letter Premium Edition identifies 5 stocks on the first Sunday of each month from the TSX Venture Exchange that are expected to double within 12–18 months, 9 out of 10 times, or your money back. Subscribe now for $49 per month, or $499 for one year; 30-day instant refund period from your first subscription day if not 100% satisfied. . .5 more top TSX picks coming this Sunday, March 6.
More Record Prices in Gold, Silver and Oil Ahead