China & Russia Fire a Warning Shot Against Bernanke Bow
Source: Jeb Handwerger, Gold Stock Trades (11/29/10)
"Message is a warning to the U.S. to be careful of further debt monetizations."
He might have entitled today's story, "The Gold Trade That Did Not Rise." The photo reveals the Premier of China Jiabao and Russia's Putin exchanging firm handshakes and smiling broad Cheshire grins.
The article reads, "China and Russia have decided to renounce the U.S. dollar and resort to using their own currencies for bilateral trade. . .since the financial crisis, however, we began to explore other possibilities. The yuan has now started trading against the Russian ruble in the Chinese market while the renminbi will be allowed to trade against the ruble in Russia. . .This follows a global trend after the financial crisis exposed faults of the dollar denominated world financial system. . .it is aimed at the risks the dollar represents."
A mystery arises in not why the Russo-Sino action was a front-page feature on an international newspaper, but why the price of gold dropped instead of rising in the face of a discredited dollar.
For the past few weeks, I have been calling for a rise in the dollar to give my readers a better re-entry point for my stock selections.
I feel that some possible clues to this enigmatic action may be that the two leaders fired a warning shot across the Bernanke bow. It was not to decimate dollars of which the Chinese hold major amounts. The message from Russia and China is a warning signal to the U.S. to be careful of further debt monetizations. Moreover, there have been widely disseminated reports of dissension within the Chairman's own team on his persistent weak dollar policies and the possible long-term negative side effects. We see that the banking systems within PIIGS nations are up against the ropes and many countries are adopting austerity measures rather than receiving bailouts. The warning from Russia and China to the U.S. is clear. Further quantitative easing will be met with swift economic actions. Other measures to support an economy must be utilized rather than debasing a currency.
In conclusion, make sure that you are wearing solid technical parachutes. I am closely observing this extended trendline on the gold chart, which should act as resistance to the upside as the previous support trendline now acts as resistance. I am expecting a reversal and break of $1340 to confirm the negative divergences between price and momentum and change of intermediate term trend.
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