Get the Latest Investment Ideas Delivered Straight to Your Inbox. Subscribe

Markets Update After Treasuries Break Out Upside as Expected
Contributed Opinion

View Important Disclosures for this Article
Share on Stocktwits


Technical Analyst Clive Maund reviews current movements in the market to tell you where he believes it is headed.

The article SIGNS OF A TURN IN THE DEBT MARKET, posted on the site on October 30, turned out to be prescient (timely) because it called for a rally in bonds and Treasuries, a drop in the dollar, and a recovery in the stock market, all of which we can since seen in a quite dramatic manner with the dollar dropping hard yesterday.

In this update, we will confine ourselves to looking at the latest chart for TLT because that was in the article on the 30th, and yesterday, it started breaking out of its downtrend that has been in force since July and is racing ahead this morning.

The rate of money creation by the Fed now is simply astounding, even to battle-hardened market veterans. Bob Moriarty of, in a recent interview, said that more money has been created over the past month than was used to fund the entire Vietnam war from the 1950s, and that's in real terms, I believe he said.

What this means is that we are the final crack-up boom of money creation using war as the justification before the whole system blows to smithereens via either credit lockup or hyperinflation and maybe both.

The U.S. and Israel who seem to be hell bent on imposing their will on the Arab / Muslim world might benefit from reflecting on the fact that the Mid-East still produces 30 – 40% of the world's oil and so, if they don't adopt a much more conciliatory stance, they may have to face the consequences of Iran blocking the Straits of Hormuz or a general oil embargo on the West that could cause oil to spike to $300 a barrel or more — and if this happens the now extremely fragile Western banking and financial system will go down faster than an apartment block in Gaza, speaking of which the brutal and appalling treatment of the Palestinians in Gaza by Israel which is completely unjustified has created an unprecedented unity in the Arab world who have already witnessed the destruction caused by the Hegemon in places like Iraq and Syria and may figure that, rather than wait until it's their turn, it might be best to turn off the oil and collapse the West's financial system while they are still able to because by doing that it will no longer be able to finance its global war machine, and China and Russia can then step in to restore security.

This is a big reason why oil and oil-related investments that we have already looked at are thought to be a good place to invest now, along with gold and silver.

Originally posted at at 10:20  EDT on November 3, 2023.

Want to be the first to know about interesting Special Situations investment ideas? Sign up to receive the FREE Streetwise Reports' newsletter. Subscribe

Important Disclosures:

  1. Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of the author and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The author is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. The author was not paid by Streetwise Reports for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article. Streetwise Reports requires contributing authors to disclose any shareholdings in, or economic relationships with, companies that they write about. Streetwise Reports relies upon the authors to accurately provide this information and Streetwise Reports has no means of verifying its accuracy.
  2. This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports' terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.

For additional disclosures, please click here. Disclosures

The above represents the opinion and analysis of Mr. Maund, based on data available to him, at the time of writing. Mr. Maund's opinions are his own, and are not a recommendation or an offer to buy or sell securities. Mr. Maund is an independent analyst who receives no compensation of any kind from any groups, individuals or corporations mentioned in his reports. As trading and investing in any financial markets may involve serious risk of loss, Mr. Maund recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction and do your own due diligence and research when making any kind of a transaction with financial ramifications. Although a qualified and experienced stock market analyst, Clive Maund is not a Registered Securities Advisor. Therefore Mr. Maund's opinions on the market and stocks can only be construed as a solicitation to buy and sell securities when they are subject to the prior approval and endorsement of a Registered Securities Advisor operating in accordance with the appropriate regulations in your area of jurisdiction.

Want to read more about Special Situations investment ideas?
Get Our Streetwise Reports Newsletter Free and be the first to know!

A valid email address is required to subscribe