Unusual Machines Inc. (UMAC:NYSEAMERICAN) has been "moving at the speed of crazy," its chief executive officer (CEO) Allan Evans has said in several recent investor presentations, reported Barry Sine, Litchfield Hills Research analyst, in a Sept. 24 research note.
"Collectively, we believe that these moves set the stage for a step function in growth, with enterprise revenues expected to nearly triple in 2026," Sine wrote.
82% Uplift Suggested
Litchfield Hills reiterated its US$20 per share target price on the U.S. drone components manufacturer, trading at the time of Sine's report at US$11 per share, the analyst noted. The difference between these prices implies a potential return for investors of 82%.
Unusual Machines remains a Buy.
The Florida-based defense company has 30.1 million shares outstanding. Its market cap is US$126.3 million (US$126.3M). Its 52-week range is US$1.28–23.62 per share.
Recent Accomplishments
Sine reported the highlights of what Unusual Machines' achieved over the past few weeks.
Two Deals Done: One was an US$8M co-investment with Ondas Holdings Inc. (ONDS:NASDAQ) in SafePro Group Inc. (SPAI:NASDAQ) whose artificial intelligence-driven vision systems, being used in Ukraine for land mine detection, are expected to be integrated into UMAC's camera and goggle platforms. The other deal, also an US$8M co-investment with Ondas, was in LightPath Technologies Inc. (LPTH:NASDAQ), whose optical and infrared components complement UMAC's imaging product line.
Acquisition Closed: Unusual Machines' US$7M acquisition of Rotor Lab in Australia closed. Rotor Lab's CEO now is leading UMAC's motor division.
"Rotor Lab's expertise accelerates UMAC's vertical integration in motors, a critical differentiator for drone performance and supply chain resilience," Sine wrote.
Motor Factory Opened: The company opened its new, 17,000-square-foot drone motor manufacturing facility on schedule, and produced its first units this month. By January 2026, the plant is expected to produce 50,000 motors per month, potentially generating US$30M in annualized revenue.
"The company has shared imagery of the advanced machinery now online, underscoring execution capability," the analyst added.
Headset Factory Planned: In response to customers' request, Unusual Machines plans to open another new factory in the U.S., this one dedicated to headsets. Notably, SafePro and LightPath have technology that can be incorporated into headsets. UMAC hired another experienced industry executive to lead the headset division.
Enterprise Orders Secured: New orders included a US$1.6M contract for goggles and cameras.
Retail Sales Made: UMAC booked more than 7,000 Brave F7 controllers having a total retail value of US$4.6M. Management expects additional large components orders on the horizon and two new Blue List products in Q4/25.
Balance Sheet Improved: The company has US$80M in cash after its capital raise in July. It has zero debt. Sine noted that this affords UMAC significant flexibility to scale production, fund research and development, and pursue additional strategic acquisitions.
"While current revenues remain below break even, operating leverage should shift the company toward profitability as sales volumes surpass fixed costs in 2026," Sine wrote.
Expanded Staff: UMAC more than doubled its headcount.
2025, 2026 Revenue Forecasts
Sine provided updated financial forecasts for Unusual Machines for this year and next, highlighting that the company continues to build revenue momentum. Litchfield Hills forecasts full-year 2025 enterprise revenue of US$3.5M. UMAC's US$1.6M goggle and camera order supports Litchfield Hills' revenue estimates for the next three quarters. Add the revenue from the Brave F7 controller orders, and this should meet or exceed Litchfield Hills' US$2.5M enterprise revenue forecast for H2/25.
For UMAC in 2026, Litchfield Hills forecasts US$13.5M in enterprise revenue, almost three times more than its enterprise revenue projection for this year.
"Importantly, this growth is diversified across at least four major customers—including former parent Red Cat Holdings Inc. (RCAT:NASDAQ)—with two additional Blue List–approved products (a speed controller and first-person view camera) expected to be launched in Q4/25," wrote Sine.
Want to be the first to know about interesting Technology investment ideas? Sign up to receive the FREE Streetwise Reports' newsletter. | Subscribe |
Important Disclosures:
- Unusual Machines Inc. is a billboard sponsor of Streetwise Reports and pays SWR a monthly sponsorship fee between US$3,000 and US$6,000.
- As of the date of this article, officers and/or employees of Streetwise Reports LLC (including members of their household) own securities of Unusual Machines Inc. and Red Cat Holdings Inc.
- Doresa Banning wrote this article for Streetwise Reports LLC and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an independent contractor.
- This article does not constitute investment advice and is not a solicitation for any investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her personal financial adviser and perform their own comprehensive investment research. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports' terms of use and full legal disclaimer. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company.
For additional disclosures, please click here.
Disclosures for Litchfield Hills Research, Unusual Machines Inc., September 24, 2025
Analyst Certification We, the Litchfield Hills Research Department, hereby certify that the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our personal views about the subject company and the underlying securities. FINRA Compliant Research Report We, the Litchfield Hills Research Department, hereby certify that this report is compliant with FINRA research rules 2241, 3110. MiFID II Compliant Research Report Our research is classified as minor non-monetary benefit under MiFID II. This applies to all forms of transmission, including email, website, and financial platforms such as Bloomberg, FactSet, S&P Global, Refinitiv and 13 others. We do not seek payment from the asset management community and do not have any execution function. Investors can continue to receive our research under the MiFID II regime without the need for a contract for services to be put in place. This applies to all forms of transmission, including email, website, and financial platforms. Litchfield Hills Research LLC Rating System BUY: We expect the stock to provide a total return of 15% or more within a 12-month period. HOLD: We expect the stock to provide a total return of negative 15% to positive 15% within a 12-month period. SELL: We expect the stock to have a negative total return of more than 15% within a 12-month period. Total return is defined as price appreciation plus dividend yield. Other Disclosures Litchfield Hills Research, LLC (“LHR”) is not a U.S. broker-dealer registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission nor a member of Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. This report is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would subject LHR or any divisions, subsidiaries or affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. All material presented in this report, unless specifically indicated otherwise, is under copyright to LHR and the subject company. None of the material, nor its content, nor any copy of it, may be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied, or distributed to any other party, without the prior express written permission of LHR or the subject company. All trademarks, service marks and logos used in this report are trademarks, service marks, registered trademarks, or service marks of LHR or its affiliates. The information, tools and material presented in this report are provided to you for information purposes only and are not to be used or considered as an offer or the solicitation of an offer to sell or to buy or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. LHR may not have taken any steps to ensure that the securities referred to in this report are suitable for any particular investor. The investments or services contained or referred to in this report may not be suitable for you and it is recommended that you consult an independent investment advisor if you are in doubt about such investments or investment services. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable, appropriate to your individual circumstances, or otherwise constitutes a personal recommendation to you. LHR does not offer advice on the tax consequences of investment, and you are advised to contact an independent tax adviser. LHR believes the information and opinions in the Disclosure Appendix of this report are accurate and complete. Information and opinions presented in this report were obtained or derived from sources LHR believes are reliable, but LHR makes no representations as to their accuracy or completeness. Ownership and Material Conflicts of Interest The analyst owns no shares of the subject company. The analyst and his family have no known material conflicts of interest in authoring this report. Investment Banking and Fees for Services Litchfield Hills Research has not received compensation for advisory or investment banking services from the Company in the past 12 months. Litchfield Hills Research LLC has received compensation from the subject company for distribution and investor targeting services. Market Making Litchfield Hills Research, LLC does not make a market in the subject company's securities. Additional information is available upon request. LHR accepts no liability for loss arising from the use of the material presented in this report, except that this exclusion of liability does not apply to the extent that liability arises under specific statutes or regulations applicable to LHR. This report is not to be relied upon in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment.
© 2025 Litchfield Hills Research LLC, 79 Belgo Road, Lakeville, CT 06039, www.HillsResearch.com | [email protected] 646-234-3333 * Important disclosures are located at the back of this report