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TICKERS: ABX, FNV, OGN; OGNRF

Mali Seizes Barrick Mine: Arbitration Proceeds
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Adrian Day Global Analyst Adrian Day discusses developments at some companies on his list.

Barrick Mining Corp. (ABX:TSX; B:NYSE) saw its Loulo-Gounkoto mine in Mali placed under government administration by a local court, effectively seizing the mine, the latest chapter in a long-running dispute, which has seen the government confiscate gold stockpiles and imprison high-ranking Barrick employees (who remain in jail).

Despite this, the company said it is still committed to talking with the government to reach a settlement. It also noted that its arbitration against the government before the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes is going ahead. Although the judge placed the mine under what was described as "provisional" administration for a 6-month period, it is unclear when a resolution will be reached, and the return of the mine to Barrick has just been pushed further away.

A former health minister was named to be in charge of the mine. It is unlikely at this point that the mine will restart under Barrick's ownership any time this year, while the current mining license for Loulo expires in February; the permit for Gounkoto runs for another 17 years. In any negotiated settlement, Barrick will likely have to concede a lot, while an arbitration may take up to six years.

Before the dispute, Loulo accounted for about 8% of the company's NAV, and move or its recent earnings.

Though Barrick remains undervalued, particularly on an asset basis, and there is very little value for Mali in Barrick's stock price right now, we are holding, given the heightened geopolitical risk in Pakistan right now

Franco Suspends Arbitration To Help Cobre Panama Talks

Franco-Nevada Corp. (FNV:TSX; FNV:NYSE) has suspended its recently filed arbitration against Panama over the Cobre Panama mine, which we view as a good-faith move to help discussions between the government and mine owner First Quantum.

Franco holds a stream over the suspended mine.

There have been small steps taken by the government recently towards restarting discussions, though the government warned that a restart of the mine was still some way in the future.

Hold.

Orogen: Vote Now, in Favor

Orogen Royalties Inc. (OGN:TSXV; OGNRF:OTCQX) announced that leading proxy advisory firm Institutional Shareholder Services has recommended voting in favor of the proposed arrangement with Triple Flag.

We also urge you to vote in favor and to opt for Triple Flag shares.

As we have discussed before, because Triple Flag has placed a 50% aggregate maximum of shares, you will likely receive some cash even if you elect to receive all shares. The deadline for proxies to be received is Wednesday morning. With the shares trading at a discount to the value of Triple Flag shares and the Orogen spin-out, they can still be purchased.

TOP BUYS this week, in addition to the above, include Altius Minerals Corp. (ALS:TSX) and Lara Exploration Ltd. (LRA:TSX.V).

LAST OPPORTUNITY to sign up for the Rule Resource Symposium, July 7 to 11, in Boca Raton, a can't-miss event for the resource investor. The exceptional line-up of speakers includes Sean Roosen, Robert Quartermain, David Stockman, Randy Smallwood, and Doug Silver, with Robert Friedland via video. My talk: "Sherlock Holmes and the Case of the Missing Gold Investor." Register now to avoid disappointment, as it will likely sell out soon.


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Important Disclosures:

  1. As of the date of this article, officers and/or employees of Streetwise Reports LLC (including members of their household) own securities of Barrick Mng Corp., Franco-Nevada Corp., Lara Exploration Ltd., Orogen Royalties Inc., and Altius Minerals Corp. 
  2. [Adrian Day]: I, or members of my immediate household or family, own securities of: [All]. My company has a financial relationship with [None]. My company has purchased stocks mentioned in this article for my management clients: [All.] I determined which companies would be included in this article based on my research and understanding of the sector.
  3. Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of the author and not of Streetwise Reports, Street Smart, or their officers. The author is wholly responsible for the accuracy of the statements. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article. Streetwise Reports requires contributing authors to disclose any shareholdings in, or economic relationships with, companies that they write about. Any disclosures from the author can be found  below. Streetwise Reports relies upon the authors to accurately provide this information and Streetwise Reports has no means of verifying its accuracy. 
  4.  This article does not constitute investment advice and is not a solicitation for any investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her personal financial adviser and perform their own comprehensive investment research. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports' terms of use and full legal disclaimer. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company. 

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Adrian Day Disclosures

Adrian Day’s Global Analyst is distributed for $990 per year by Investment Consultants International, Ltd., P.O. Box 6644, Annapolis, MD 21401. (410) 224-8885. www.AdrianDayGlobalAnalyst.com. Publisher: Adrian Day. Owner: Investment Consultants International, Ltd. Staff may have positions in securities discussed herein. Adrian Day is also President of Global Strategic Management (GSM), a registered investment advisor, and a separate company from this service. In his capacity as GSM president, Adrian Day may be buying or selling for clients securities recommended herein concurrently, before or after recommendations herein, and may be acting for clients in a manner contrary to recommendations herein. This is not a solicitation for GSM. Views herein are the editor’s opinion and not fact. All information is believed to be correct, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The owner and editor are not responsible for errors and omissions. © 2023. Adrian Day’s Global Analyst. Information and advice herein are intended purely for the subscriber’s own account. Under no circumstances may any part of a Global Analyst e-mail be copied or distributed without prior written permission of the editor. Given the nature of this service, we will pursue any violations aggressively.





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