Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.
The gold sector is on a long-term sell signal. Long-term signals can last for months and years and are more suitable for investors.
The gold sector is on a short-term sell signal. Short-term signals can last for days and weeks, and are more suitable for traders.
Our ratio between gold and gold stocks is on short-term sell signal.
Speculation is now at net short for the first time since 2001.
Silver is now on a long-term sell signal.
SLV is on a short-term sell signal, and short-term signals can last for days to weeks, more suitable for traders.
Speculation is at net short again.
Our ratio between gold and stocks is now at the same oversold level as in July 2015, the start of the multimonth bottoming process before the 150%+ rally in early 2016.
The precious metals sector is now on a long-term sell signal, which is suitable for trading and not for long-term holding. Short-term is on mixed signals. The cycle is down. COT data is at extreme levels, which suggests that a recovery will occur soon. We are looking to exit our long-term positions upon a recovery rally.
Jack Chan is the editor of simply profits at www.simplyprofits.org, established in 2006. Chan bought his first mining stock, Hoko Exploration, in 1979, and has been active in the markets for the past 37 years. Technical analysis has helped him filter out the noise and focus on the when, and leave the why to the fundamental analysts. His proprietary trading models have enabled him to identify the NASDAQ top in 2000, the new gold bull market in 2001, the stock market top in 2007, and the U.S. dollar bottom in 2011.[NLINSERT]
1) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of Jack Chan and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. Jack Chan is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. Streetwise Reports was not involved in any aspect of the article preparation or editing so the author could speak independently about the sector. The author was not paid by Streetwise Reports LLC for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article.
2) Jack Chan: We do not offer predictions or forecasts for the markets. What you see here is our simple trading model, which provides us the signals and set-ups to be either long, short, or in cash at any given time. Entry points and stops are provided in real time to subscribers, therefore, this update may not reflect our current positions in the markets. Trade at your own discretion. We also provide coverage to the major indexes and oil sector.
Charts courtesy of Jack Chan