Silver Prices Could Keep Rising
Source: TheStreet (6/21/10)
"Silver may continue trading higher this week on bullish momentum indicators."
Technical analysis suggests that silver is expected to trade higher this week. Silver futures for July delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange traded in the range of $18.20 to $19.28 an ounce and finally settled at $19.18 an ounce. The silver market breached crucial resistance at $18.68 and will likely trade higher this week. Silver prices are trading above 13, 22, and 45 EMA daily indicating a bullish view. The momentum indicator, RSI (14) daily, has ascended from 0.38 to 0.60 implying a potential northward momentum.
Data releases this week will likely lower the dollar Index to support higher silver prices. Despite the uptrend in existing home sales, new home sales and durable goods are lagging. The Federal Reserve's rate decision is due this week and is likely to remain unchanged at 0.25%, however, the Fed's statements regarding the overall economy may move silver prices.
Over the past week, silver July futures on Nymex gained 5.23% outperforming gold's 2.28% increase. The gold-silver ratio dropped to 65.59 from 67.48 as silver rose more than gold. Being a smaller market, the white metal tends to outperform the yellow metal on a percentage basis during the later stages of an economic slowdown. Gains in the euro over the past week indicate signs of easing debt concerns. Downgrade of Greece's debt rating to "junk" status did not have a negative impact as bonds were already trading at "junk" levels. Silver is anticipated to outperform gold this week as well.