'Gold Bullion on Its Way to $1,650'
Source: Commodity Online, Jim Sinclair (5/18/10)
"Speculating short term or selling your gold insurance is totally wrong."
The present relationship, though short term, is that gold is moving in the same direction as the U.S. dollar. That means that, as the USD falls, markets interpret that as a relief of the euro crisis, which results in longs taking profits and shorts establishing positions in gold.
A softer dollar today as a product of short covering in the euro for very modest technical and fundaments tidbits means temporarily lower gold as the euro crisis has caused a rush to gold by euro holders. That relationship will stop, but the euro must cease first.
The next target of credit default derivatives after battering the euro is to batter the USD.
After the euro is done within a few sessions, the relationship between the dollar and gold will return to inverse in a very big way. This I assure you. With more than 50 years in markets, you learn a few things about the madness that goes on.
Gold bullion is on its way to $1,650 and above making today's reaction or any nearby reaction totally irrelevant in the big picture.
If you are playing short term, your opposition is Goldman and all the little Goldmans. That strategy makes no sense. Speculating short term or selling your gold insurance is totally wrong.