A Sure Way to Play Uranium
Source: Investor's Daily Edge, Andrew Gordon (6/16/09)
"With China and India leading the way, nuclear's resurrection shouldn't be ignored by investors."
Prices hit $136 in 2007 and then began a long pullback to around $40. They bottomed in April and have since rebounded to where they are right now—at the $50 per pound level.
Can they go up from here? The downward trend is still intact. Based on market fundamentals, the price of uranium should be going up soon. Nuclear power contributes 16% of world energy demand. In the U.S., it contributes 20%. And with 30 nuclear plants under construction and another 38 in the pre-construction stages with dozens more planned, nuclear's contribution is sure to rise.
And there won't be enough uranium to go around. The Atomic Energy Agency recently said that Russia and the U.S. may cover only 5% of world demand by 2015.
The current shortage in uranium production is covered by the uranium from dismantled weapons the U.S. gets from Russia. The government-created company, USEC, down-blends this uranium for use in nuclear power plants. That agreement goes away in 2013.
But the global nuclear power plant construction program isn't going anywhere. With China and India leading the way, nuclear's resurrection shouldn't be ignored by investors.
The entire nuclear industry is revving up, including uranium exploration and mining. It takes 8-12 years to build a mine and get the stuff out of the ground.