Just a Small Thrust Needed in Gold
Source: GoldSeek, Rick Ackerman††(4/30/09)
"Higher prices seem very likely, but we will probably not see them until the bear rally...flames out."
So what, exactly, would it take to turn June Gold into a screaming buy? Very simply, a rally that traverses the gap between $919.70 and $935.80 without taking a breather lasting more than a day. According to our technical rules, that would create a bullish impulse leg of daily-chart degree, effectively clinching a follow-through to at least $967.30. Moreover, that last number is a "midpoint" Hidden Pivot, and if it were to be breached on a closing basis for two consecutive days, a further surge to at least $1,069.60 would become an odds-on bet.
This sequence of events is, of course, speculative at this point, and we needn't get excited about it until such time as the June contract musters a similar feat on the lesser charts, surpassing the $914.50 benchmark noted above. Meanwhile, and interestingly, May Silver's daily chart is slightly more bullish than Gold's. We cannot say whether this means silver is likely to outperform gold during the next bull cycle, but it is reassuring on the question of bullionís eventual direction. Higher prices seem very likely, but we will probably not see them until the bear rally that has impelled stocks higher since early March flames out.