Just a Commodities Correction - Not the End of the Bull (Part 2)

Source:

...Total oil supplies remain in deficit to the tune of roughly 2 million barrels per day or 87 million barrels of demand compared to 85 million barrels of supply. That discrepancy in supply and demand has been consistent for over a year and remains threatened by supply bottlenecks in many oil-producing markets and threats of regional conflicts...

As I said yesterday, the commodity bull market isn't over...not by a long shot...

This simply isn't the same oil bull market we saw in the 1970s. For starters, the energy sector is not as reliant on U.S. domestic consumption compared to 10 or 20 years ago.

Compared to the last oil shock in the 1970s, China was barely a factor in global consumption. Today China is the primary reason why most commodities are in a secular bull market. That's also the case regarding oil. It's a primary demand-driven trend that won't end anytime soon...

What some investors fail to understand is the primary source of new oil demand comes from the emerging markets, not the United States or Europe.

According to Merrill Lynch, oil demand growth in the emerging markets has never contracted year-over-year in the modern era. Although demand destruction has started in the emerging markets, the overall trend for consumption remains long-term bullish.

Total oil supplies remain in deficit to the tune of roughly 2 million barrels per day or 87 million barrels of demand compared to 85 million barrels of supply. That discrepancy in supply and demand has been consistent for over a year and remains threatened by supply bottlenecks in many oil-producing markets and threats of regional conflicts...

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